IMD monsoon predictions for Mumbai
IMD monsoon predictions for Mumbai
Leading meteorologists stated on Thursday that timely rainfall can be anticipated in regions of south peninsular India, the northeast and Maharashtra.
24th May 2024
Weather forecast for the upcoming days indicates mainly clear skies on 24th and 25th May, with the possibility of partly cloudy skies developing by afternoon or evening on 26th May. However, conditions are expected to change on 27th and 28th May, with partly cloudy skies accompanied by haze. Residents are advised to stay updated on weather developments and take necessary precautions accordingly.
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that hot and humid weather will persist throughout the week. As per the IMD, the monsoon typically advances to various parts of Maharashtra around 9th to 10th June, reaching Pune by approximately 10th June and Mumbai by about 11th June.
Following the IMD’s announcement of a near-normal monsoon onset in Kerala around 31st May, with a possible deviation of plus or minus four days, leading meteorologists stated on Thursday that timely rainfall can be anticipated in regions of south peninsular India, the northeast and Maharashtra.
These experts highlighted that the lack of expected cyclone formations in the Arabian Sea or the Bay of Bengal around the onset of the monsoon in Kerala indicates favourable circumstances for the monsoon’s timely advancement in the coming days.
An official from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) informed The Times Of India that cyclonic formations usually disturb the monsoon pattern. However, as per current forecasts indicating the absence of cyclones, the initial monsoon pulse assisting Kerala’s onset is projected to facilitate near-normal progress over south peninsular India and northeast India.
The monsoon typically reaches northeast India by 5th June, and its progression relies on subsequent monsoon pulses. Present model forecasts suggest no signs of cyclone formation over the Arabian Sea or the Bay of Bengal, which is advantageous as cyclones in these areas might impede the monsoon’s forward movement over the west coast or northeast India.
Medha Khole, who leads the weather forecasting division at IMD-Pune, mentioned that historically, the monsoon usually progresses over the extreme southern part of Maharashtra by approximately 5th June.
Presently, there are cyclonic circulations and a trough in the extreme south peninsular India, near the Lakshadweep and Comorin region. Southwest winds are anticipated to intensify gradually, with certain models suggesting the formation of a low-pressure system over the equatorial Indian Ocean by 26th May, resulting in heightened rainfall across south peninsular India.
